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reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 revenue grew 1,909% year over year to $1.25M, driven primarily by mortgage brokerage (reAlpha Mortgage + GTG) and AiChat subscriptions; gross margin was ~50% vs 71% a year ago .
- Against S&P Global consensus, revenue modestly beat ($1.25M actual vs $1.13M estimate*), but EPS (-$0.08) and Adjusted EBITDA (-$3.47M) missed estimates* as operating expenses ramped on integration and marketing .
- Liquidity remains tight (cash $0.59M at quarter end) with going-concern language; however, subsequent July offerings enabled full repayment of the Streeterville note (~$4.47M including penalty), reducing near-term financing risk .
- Strategic execution advanced: AI “Loan Officer Assistant” showed early workflow efficiency gains; national footprint and leadership transition to CEO Mike Logozzo aim to scale operations .
- Stock catalysts: sustained mortgage volume growth, progress to regain Nasdaq listing compliance, resolution of GEM warrant litigation, and clarity on GTG deferred cash payments timing .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Revenue inflected: $1.25M (+1,909% YoY; +35% QoQ) with $1.01M from mortgage brokerage and $0.16M from AiChat subscriptions in Q2 .
- Early AI ops leverage: internal Loan Officer Assistant reduced manual processing and per-loan time based on internal testing, supporting scale in mortgage ops .
- Post-quarter de-risking: July equity raises and note payoff extinguished Streeterville debt and halted monthly redemptions that had pressured liquidity .
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What Went Wrong
- Profitability deteriorated: Adjusted EBITDA fell to -$3.47M (vs -$1.96M in Q1; -$1.15M in Q2’24) on higher salaries, marketing, and professional fees tied to integration and capital activities .
- Gross margin compression vs LY (50% vs 71%) reflecting higher cost to deliver loan brokerage and tech solutions .
- Liquidity strain and compliance risk: cash was $0.59M at 6/30; going-concern disclosure; Nasdaq minimum bid price and market value notices; GTG deferred cash consideration (up to $1.34M) unpaid and accruing 4% interest after day 180 with potential rescission right .
Financial Results
Segment revenue mix (operational disclosure)
Balance sheet and capital structure KPIs
Estimates vs. actuals (S&P Global consensus)
Values marked with * are from S&P Global consensus; actuals per filings. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our source set; themes below reflect MD&A and filings.
Management Commentary
- “We believe that our second quarter’s performance demonstrates the scalability of our platform strategy… We remain focused on balancing our growth with fiscal discipline as we commercialize our AI infrastructure.” — CFO Piyush Phadke .
- “We are uniquely positioned to transform the homebuying journey through technology, data, and integrated services… we will expand our national footprint, scale our end-to-end platform, and deliver long-term results.” — CEO Mike Logozzo (appointment PR) .
Q&A Highlights
- No public Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our document set; no Q&A highlights to report.
Estimates Context
- Revenue beat: Actual $1.25M vs $1.13M estimate* as mortgage origination fees and AiChat subscriptions scaled post-acquisitions .
- EPS and EBITDA missed: Elevated salaries from acquired teams, $1.48M Q2 marketing spend, and professional/legal fees tied to capital markets activity widened losses vs estimates* .
- Outlook: With subsequent equity raises and debt repayment, near-term interest expense should decline; however, operating expense intensity and GTG deferred cash obligations may keep consensus cautious absent stronger volume conversion .
Values marked with * are from S&P Global consensus. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Top-line momentum but profitability lag: Rapid revenue growth is mortgage-led; operating leverage depends on scaling volumes while normalizing marketing/legal spend .
- Balance sheet improved after Q2: Full payoff of Streeterville reduces financing overhang, but runway guidance still only to late October absent additional financing .
- Watch compliance and litigation: Bid price/MVLS deficiency windows and GEM litigation outcomes could drive volatility and dilution scenarios .
- Execution proof points: Mortgage volume growth, AI ops efficiency translating to throughput, and integration synergies are key to margin progression .
- Cash obligations: Clarify timing of $1.34M GTG deferred cash payments now accruing 4% interest and potential transaction rescission right .
- Marketing ROI: $1.48M Q2 spend (incl. media-for-equity) should be assessed against lead conversion and revenue trajectory in H2 .
- Estimate path: Expect consensus to adjust for lower interest expense post-payoff, but to remain conservative on opex and cash needs until sustained positive contribution appears .